Gun & Bullet Investigation Index
The government's kill chain requires: Mauser .30-06 → Losee rooftop → fatal wound. Citizen investigators argue each link fails on public filings, physics, or wound morphology. This memo maps threads without asserting Tyler Robinson's guilt or innocence.
Start by question
| Question | Page |
|---|---|
| What rifle does the state attribute? | Mauser .30-06 Rifle |
| Did ATF match the autopsy fragment? | ATF Fragment Inconclusive |
| Could .30-06 energy match the wound? | .30-06 Energy Mismatch |
| Does rooftop geometry fit entry path? | Wound Trajectory & Angle |
| What alternatives are proposed? | Alternative Calibers & Weapons |
| Where was the gun recovered? | Gun Dropped Location |
| Does the gun match Tyler / roof video? | Rifle Fingerprints & Mismatch |
| Bullet in stage wood? | Bullet Lodged in Stage |
Evidence lanes
Lane 1 — State ballistics (contested)
| Claim | Status in public record |
|---|---|
| Mauser Model 98 .30-06 with scope recovered | Reported in affidavit / media |
| Exhibit 6A jacket fragment from autopsy | Confirmed in court filings |
| ATF link fragment → Exhibit 1 rifle | Inconclusive (Sept 17, 2025) |
| FBI VCM / CBLA follow-on | Alleged in commentary; see ATF page |
Lane 2 — Physics & morphology
| Claim | Source tier |
|---|---|
| .30-06 ~3,950 J vs 9mm ~482 J | @HolonCitizen charts |
| Losee 5–9° down would hit face/jaw first | @_DaniFesto |
| Entry between larynx and trachea, left of spine — more straight-on | Investigation file |
| .30-06 from east would expect neck exit + tarp blood | Commentary in CK file |
Lane 3 — Alternative mechanisms (cross-link)
- 9mm +P / CornerShot — Alternative Calibers · Tent theories
- Shaped charge / mic / pendant — Mic · Medical ballistics
- Proof Not Tyler hub — ATF page · Trajectory
Disclosure targets (Fix Laws)
- Full ATF + FBI laboratory reports (unsealed)
- Autopsy wound track, caliber, GSR, explosive residue
- Chain of custody: rifle, fragments, stage bullet
- Barrel residue and comparative microscopy video
Citizen Investigator Claims on X (Attributed)
Ballistics is one of the most active Kirk threads on X.
- ATF inconclusive: @TheQuartering notes defense filings cite ATF experts "unable to identify" the fragmented bullet to the specific Mauser—not a finding the bullet "wasn't .30-06." @ShekandaPeoples explains jacket suitable / lead unsuitable / insufficient individual characteristics.
- Counter: @misfitpatriot_ argues soft-point .30-06 should fragment and that non-match is being overclaimed; @OfVoice35353 cites hearing testimony that fragments measure ~.286–.301" and fit the .30 cal family.
- Energy / trajectory skeptics recirculate charts comparing ~3950 J rifle energy to observed wound and argue Losee roof angles (5–9°) and C2 path problems—see sibling pages.
Route readers to ATF inconclusive, energy mismatch, trajectory, Mauser narrative, drop location, fingerprints.
All ballistics claims await full public exhibits and independent review. No living examiner is accused of crime as site fact.
Interesting In This Area
- Testimony describes dust and a .286-inch fragment that fit the rifle story poorly.
- A 5 to 9 degree descent should meet face or jaw before the throat.
- Engraved rounds hidden in a towel is behaviorally self-contradictory, whatever the ballistics say.
- Proposed replacements run from 9mm CornerShot to shaped charges.
Interesting In Other Areas
- Most independent investigators had settled on a device rather than a round by mid-2026.
- The filing lists hemopericardium and bilateral hemothorax alongside the neck injuries.
- The competing mechanism is a charge in the lapel microphone, documented with its own counterarguments.
- Acoustics, identity gaps, and missing tests are gathered under Proof Not Tyler.
Other Pages In This Section
ATF Fragment — Inconclusive Match
The state's own September 17, 2025 ATF report could neither identify nor exclude the seized Mauser as the source of the autopsy jacket fragment. The rifling matched "numerous makes and models" — a class, not a weapon. The defense reportedly calls that exculpatory, and it is a large part of why independent work has moved toward a device at the podium.
Read this
An ATF examiner testified that dust and debris were observed inside the seized barrel, and measured the jacket fragment at .286 to .301 inches — under the .308 a .30-06 fires. The counterarguments are here too: a deformed jacket measures small, and a fired barrel still collects dust.
Read this
A .30-06 carries roughly 3,950 joules; a 9mm carries about 482. Commentators argue a cervical strike at that energy produces catastrophic channel damage and pronounced back-spatter, not the restrained injury pattern described publicly.
Read this
A 5 to 9 degree downward shot from the Losee roof should meet face or jaw first. The reported entry sits between larynx and trachea, left of the spine — a far more straight-on path. The geometry is the argument.
Read thisElsewhere In The Investigation
One page stating what most independent investigators had concluded by July 2026 about what killed Charlie Kirk and what did not. The official account is a single .30-06 round; this is where the reasons for rejecting it are gathered.
Read this
Microphone — The Exploding Mic Theory
The RØDE Wireless PRO clipped to Charlie Kirk's shirt, and the argument that it — not a rooftop rifle — was the kill mechanism. Video, broadcast audio, procurement records, and post-event debris all feed the same hub.
Read this
Shape Charge vs Bullet: from Medical Examiner results
The July 2026 filing quotes the Medical Examiner directly, and the injuries run far wider than a neck wound: hemopericardium, bilateral hemothorax, subarachnoid hemorrhaging. The page asks which mechanism predicts that pattern without extra assumptions.
Read thisThe hub for every argument that Tyler Robinson did not cause Charlie Kirk's death — ballistics, acoustics, identity gaps, and the standard physical tests that were reportedly never run.
Read thisThis website's author is @HolonCitizen on X and YouTube/@HolonCitizen. Follow me there.
Interesting
- Testimony describes dust and a .286–.301 inch jacket fragment that fit no .30-06 story.
- One attributed theory has the mic pack's lithium-polymer cell going into runaway, throwing fragments.
- The SEAL who shot bin Laden said on air "that looks like an explosion to me".