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The Charlie/TPUSA rows position data refutes — there are none

Where this came from. On the Following overview, the Charlie Kirk and TPUSA ledger splits its 24 rows three ways by what recovered ADS-B position data says: corroborated, refuted, and the rows the archives cannot answer. This page is the refuted cell. It holds 0 rows. The other two cells hold 13 and 11, and 13 + 0 + 11 = 24, so nothing is missing here — the cell really is empty.

What this slice is

A row joins the Charlie Kirk and TPUSA ledger when the compilers' sheet places Charlie Kirk on it, places both Kirks on it, or ties it to a Turning Point USA event with neither Kirk named — 9, 9 and 6 rows respectively. A ledger row lands on this page only if the recovered position data for the named aircraft, on the claimed date, puts that aircraft somewhere other than the claimed airport — the verdict this project writes as ELSEWHERE. Across all 24 ledger rows that verdict is returned zero times. To reproduce the list from overlaps.csv: take the rows whose attendee class is CHARLIE_ONLY, CHARLIE_AND_ERIKA or TPUSA_NO_KIRK, then keep only those whose ADS-B verdict is ELSEWHERE. Nothing survives.

At a glance

MeasureValue
Rows in this slice0
Distinct dates0
Date range
Aircraftnone
Airportsnone
Statesnone
ADS-B verdict breakdownnone
Ground-position confirmations0
Rows in the parent ledger24
Parent ledger — corroborated13
Parent ledger — archives cannot answer11
Parent ledger — refuted0

TABLE A — the following aircraft

RowDate claimedAirportCity / StateFollowing aircraftTypeICAO hexArrived fromDeparted toGround stay logged, arrivedDepartedDaysTransponder / ground flagADS-B verdictClosest approach

TABLE B — who they are claimed to have been following

RowDate claimedWho the sheet claims was presentErika location as the sheet gives itSourced Kirk / TPUSA appearance same dayVenueLocal timeNearest airport to that venueKirk-side aircraft on record

TABLE C — sourcing and both verdicts

RowSheet indexAudit verdict (tracking-site pass)ADS-B verdict (position data)What the position data saysSource of the claimSource postFull row page

What the specifics show

The three tables above are empty on purpose. Every column heading is left in place so a reader can see exactly what a row in this cell would have had to contain, and see that no row does.

An empty refuted cell is a real result, and it points in the direction the compilers would want. On the Charlie Kirk and TPUSA side of the sheet, the position data we recovered never once caught the named jet somewhere else on the claimed day. Where it could speak at all it agreed: 13 of the 24 ledger rows come back At the claimed airport — corroborated, and 8 of the 24 carry a transmitted on-ground position rather than an overflight. Those 24 rows fall on 18 distinct dates and, counted by row rather than by date, split 5 in 2023, 9 in 2024 and 10 in 2025, across seven airport entries, most heavily KPVU (8 rows), KICT (7) and KLNK (4).

The result is much weaker than it first sounds, and the reason is arithmetic rather than argument. Only 13 of the 24 rows got an answer at all. Eight came back Not heard and three name no aircraft, so 11 of 24 — nearly half the ledger — were never in a position to be refuted. A test that cannot fail on 11 rows has not passed on those 11 rows; it was not run. The honest sentence is: of the 13 Charlie/TPUSA rows the archives could actually adjudicate, 13 were corroborated and 0 were refuted. That is a clean 13-for-13 on a small sample, not a 24-for-24 on the whole ledger.

The absence also cannot be read as the aircraft being somewhere else and hidden. Not heard and No archive coverage are limits of the volunteer receiver networks and of what the free archives retain — not deletions, and not evidence the aircraft was elsewhere.

What this list cannot tell you

  • A trace locates an aircraft. It never places a person aboard. Not one row in the parent ledger, and therefore not one row that could ever have appeared here, carries a passenger manifest, a boarding record, or any document naming who was on the jet.
  • Erika Kirk's presence is established on zero rows anywhere in this register, including every row of the Charlie/TPUSA ledger that names her alongside Charlie. Her flight logs are reported erased and no itinerary was ever published, so there is no document against which any of it can be checked.
  • An empty cell is not a verdict of innocence and not a verdict of guilt. It records that one specific test — "does the position data put the jet somewhere else that day?" — returned nothing on this side of the sheet. It says nothing about intent, ownership, or why an Egyptian-registered jet was on a US ramp on any given date.
  • An absence in an archive is not evidence of absence. The 11 undecided rows are undecided. Parked with the transponder off, outside receiver coverage, and a wrong claimed date all look identical from the outside.
  • Where the count here differs from the overview page, this register is the newer of the two. The tracking-site audit worked from 78 rows; this register holds 85, of which 24 form the Charlie/TPUSA ledger. Four of those 24 were never reached by that audit at all. Where a figure on the overview and a figure here disagree, the JSON behind this page is the count of record and the difference is the audit's smaller starting set, not a changed finding.
  • No living person is accused of anything here. The claims summarised are the compilers' and the auditors'; this page reports what their rows say and what the recovered position data does and does not confirm.

Flight-record pages for what is on this page

This investigation keeps one page per airport and one page per recorded ground contact, built directly from the recovered ADS-B traces. These are the ones this page touches.

Airports named on this page:

Aircraft named on this page:

  • SU-BND — full recovered movement record, every airport and every leg
  • SU-BTT — full recovered movement record, every airport and every leg

The two indexes: