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Probable Cause Affidavit — Tyler Robinson

This is the Probable Cause Affidavit filed by law enforcement in connection with Tyler Robinson's arrest. This is the police-side booking document that established the legal basis for Robinson's detention.

The affidavit contains the official law enforcement account of the timeline of events, including references to the "early morning hours of September 12, 2025." Investigators have noted that this language refers to a distinct, later encounter by Utah County investigators — not the initial Miranda encounter documented in Bates 003996-R2, which occurred at approximately 6:25 PM MDT on September 11, 2025.

The affidavit is also the document in which the government first commits to its theory of how Charlie Kirk was killed on September 10, 2025 — a theory that the independent cause-of-death analysis argues cannot survive contact with the physical evidence.

Tyler Robinson is charged, not convicted. All references to his alleged conduct are allegations drawn from official court documents. Nothing in this document constitutes a finding of guilt.

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Download Probable Cause Affidavit PDF

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Key Points​

  • The affidavit is the law enforcement counterpart to the defense's Miranda timeline argument.
  • Its reference to "September 12, 2025 early morning hours" describes Utah County investigators arriving after a multi-hour drive from Provo — not the initial Miranda reading at 6:25 PM.
  • The document was filed as part of the formal arrest record and establishes the legal basis for Robinson's continued detention without bail.
  • Readers should consult the original filing and defense responses for the full legal context.

Laws (Charlie Kirk)​

  • FBI 302 reports of Robinson's interrogation, the true Miranda-timestamp booking records, and the chain of custody of the Mauser rifle are not public yet; the Charlie Kirk Investigation Laws could bring these powerful truths out.

How investigators read the affidavit's custody language​

Citizen investigators flag that the probable-cause affidavit's "September 12 early morning" investigator-encounter language is often misread as the first Miranda event. Cross-check against the Bates 003996-R2 September 11 bodycam discussion on sibling pages. The affidavit remains a charging document, not a trial verdict; clothing/camera descriptions in it also feed Tyler on Cameras identification debates.

Interesting In This Area​

Interesting In Other Areas​

Images​

This image is a flat, digital scan of an official document titled "Utah County Sheriff Inmate Booking Sheet and PC Statement".
This image is a flat, digital scan of an official document titled "Utah County Sheriff Inmate Booking Sheet and PC Statement".
This is a digital screenshot of a mobile web browser displaying a legal document, specifically a probable cause statement or arrest affidavit.
This is a digital screenshot of a mobile web browser displaying a legal document, specifically a probable cause statement or arrest affidavit.

Court Video: He Turned Himself In on September 11, Before 6:25 PM​

Preliminary-hearing audio. A state witness places the last text off Lance Twiggs' phone at about 7:42 PM on September 11, is offered September 12 as an alternative, declines it, and agrees September 11 "was when he turned himself in." Source: @JohPersso on X, 2 September 2026.

The September 11 turn-in is no longer only a citizen reading of a leaked exhibit. Three records now point at the same evening: the discovery index lists exhibit Bates 3996-R1 as "Video at WCSO on 9/11/2025"; page 70 of a defense filing quotes companion exhibit Bates 003996-R2 showing the Miranda warning at 06:25 PM and the invocation of counsel at 06:26 PM; and in the clip here the state's own witness, given an explicit chance to move the date to September 12, keeps it at September 11.

If Tyler Robinson was in custody and Mirandized at 6:25 PM, he could not have posted the Discord confession timestamped 7:57 PM that same evening. That is the argument, and it is now document-backed rather than inferred.

Two ordinary explanations stay open and are recorded in full on the linked page: the 6:25 PM reading could be a misread frame or an internal video clock not synced to wall time, or someone other than Robinson could have had the account — which would undo the confession as a confession by a different route. Nothing here states that any witness or official said anything untrue.

  • Full write-up, transcripts and both filing pages: September 11 — The Day He Turned Himself In

Other Pages In This Section​

This image is a flat, horizontal digital screenshot of black text on a clean white background, explaining the significance of a legal discovery exhibit labeled "Bates 003996-R2".

Image: Sept 11 Grok Screenshot — Bates 003996-R2 Analysis

A second screenshot, kept because it explains in plain language what a Bates number is and why 003996-R2 became the most argued exhibit in the case. Preserved with OCR so the text survives the image.

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Utah County Jail & Custody

Booking 460956 in Spanish Fork, restricted housing, remote appearances, and the jailhouse-informant process questions that follow from all three.

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Preliminary Hearing — Day 3

The state's case agent walks through the September 11 surrender, the booking, the search warrants and a live .223 round reportedly found on a rooftop. The afternoon then turns into an extended fight over whether the recorded roommate interview could be broadcast at all. Verbatim transcript of both halves.

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Who Testified — Hearing Witnesses

Sworn hearing testimony and an on-camera interview are not the same thing, and treating them as one is the most common error in commentary about this case. This roster covers only the people who took the stand under oath, what their testimony addressed, and on which day. Appearing on it is not an accusation.

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Elsewhere In The Investigation​

This is a composite image showing a screenshot of a Facebook post on the right and a corresponding video frame on the left.

Arrest, Booking & Probable Cause Affidavit Timeline

Four documents describe the same arrest and they do not agree on when it happened. The booking sheet says 10:00 PM on the 11th; the police system record says 04:00 on the 12th.

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Visual Representation of Reported Injuries — anatomical chart marking, in red, the reported injury locations across the front and back torso, the neck, the internal chest, and two views of the brain.

Cause of Death

One page stating what most independent investigators had concluded by July 2026 about what killed Charlie Kirk and what did not. The official account is a single .30-06 round; this is where the reasons for rejecting it are gathered.

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This website's author is @HolonCitizen on X and YouTube/@HolonCitizen. Follow me there.

Interesting​

  • One record set reportedly carries three different arrest times: 8:04 PM, 10:00 PM, 4:00 AM.
  • Investigators allege one fundraising staffer linked to multiple shell LLCs taking organizational money.
  • Over $9 million reportedly went to a direct-mail operation against $1.35 million filed.
  • FBI
  • Proof Not Tyler
  • Real Killer